FYI, "bluff meat" is a term me and my wife use to describe someone that can be bluffed. For example, the other day I called on the river with A-J high and won against K-Q high in a 4/8 game at Red Rock. In that situation, he obviously took me for bluff meat!
I have been playing exclusively limit poker lately. It has been a lot of fun and there has been a TON of action. I need to rethink how this blog is going to work, because I'm playing a ton of poker and simply haven't had time to write a bunch about it. Also with limit, I'm finding it harder to write down hands. Probably because I'm playing way too many hands, and writing them all down (or even 25% of them) is simply not feasible.
I did want to write about one thing that I think is pretty true about 4/8 limit, regarding bluffing on the river. Personally I think you should bluff 100% of rivers where you have the lead going into the river. I mean bluff bet the river, out of position or in position.
A lot of people say that you can't bluff in 4/8, it's no fold 'em hold 'em, and so on. I think that of all streets, people fold most frequently on the river. Even in the most gigantic pots, people will call all the way down and fold. A lot of the time they have draws, but they will even fold pairs for a bet as well.
Another big part of this strategy is the size of the pot relative to your bet. A lot of the time, people are getting 10 to 1 or more on a call on the river. However, they are still folding a ton of the time. If your bluff only has to work 1 out of 10 times, or 1 out of 14 times, etc to be profitable, betting the river with any two cards when you have the lead going into it should be MASSIVELY profitable if people are folding the river any substantial portion of the time. I think people just figure "well, he must have it" after you raise preflop and bet all the way.
I've won some sick gigantic pots lately by doing this. Sickest hand ever was at Wynn the other night playing 4/8 limit. I was in the small blind with 89cc. Someone raised, and another guy 3-bet it. I called (maybe not great, I get it). 5 or 6 people saw the flop. The flop was Q-6-7 with 1 club. I bet out. A few people called, and the guy who raised preflop says "I have A-K" and folds. Turn was the most hilarious card possible, the king. I bet out again and get 2 calls. The river is a queen and the pot is massive. I bet out again. Both people fold. I turn up the 9 high and die laughing.
Personally I think there is some good opportunity to bluff raise the river as well, especially against tight old guys that get easily flustered. Like when the flush card hits. You call all the way with a straight draw and some super tight old guy raised preflop and bet the flop and turn. Now he bets the river and the flush hit, and you insta-raise. I think you might be able to get people turbo-mucking with super anger. I haven't tried this out much, and it costs a lot more than the one bet bluff on the river. I think in the right spots though it could be massively profitable.
I might devote this blog to writing about general strategy and my thoughts for a while. Limit is insane and I'm playing waaaaaaay too loose, so it's just really hard for me to pick out individual hands to blog about. I'm having a ton of fun though and am planning on going to play more tonight.
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